So if the lizards situation hasn't changed much in the past 100 years despite massive changes in the environemt around it....
...then why make changes now?
Sounds like the research just goes to show that there's no need to be shutting the public out of public land.
Again the only mention of OHV use seems to make claims without any data to back them up. Where's the data to show that OHV use has caused habitat degradation and loss that has effected the lizard. All I see is someone saying it does but then not providing the proof.
If OHV use is effecting the lizard they why is it still more or less the same now as it was 100 years ago?
Have you seen Gavin Wright's "Flat-Tailed Horned Lizard Monitoring Report" from April 2002 put out by the BLM's El Centro office yet?
I haven't seen the full thing yet but I did recieve a few excerpts from it this week.
Here's some of what the conclusions of this report found:
quote:
1)Lizard detection rates in 2001 were not significantly different from those in 1979 and no significant trend was detected in the rate that lizards were detected between these years. Assuming lizard detection rates are an indicator of relative abundance, the lizard population in 2001 was probably not dramatically different from that in 1979. However, the insensitive methodology may have prevented teh detection of a real population change.
So if the numbers of lizards are no different now than they were in 1979 where's the proof that they are in danger of extinction? It sure sounds like their population is stable. It may not be large but not all creates are ment to be found in large numbers.
quote:
2) West Mesa and the Eastern Yuha are more impacted by vehicles than southern East Mesa
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3) Assuming lizard sighting rates are corelated wtih lizard density, the Limited Use and Navy lands of West Mesa are apparently the densest lizard areas.
So even bombing ranges still have high concentrations of these lizards. If something with that much impact on the land hasn't decreased their numbers it's hard to imagine much that would. Sounds like this is a fairly hardy little animal - not surprising since it's evolved to live in a very inhospitable place.
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4) No consistent association between vehicle impacts and lizards was found. This inconsistency may be due to the confounding effects of weather, habitat quality and other human impacts or to the small sample size and insensitive methodology.
Sounds like the researcher didn't find the data they wanted to so they toss in a bunch of guesses that aren't backed by facts to try and bolster their opinion that vehicles must be evil.
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5) Monitoring in the future should include mark-recapture studies to generate an actual population figure for the three Management Areas and other areas, if feasible.
This should have been done starting in 1979 when the lizard was first poposed for ESA status. The only reason I can think of for not having done it already is to try and cover up that the lizard is NOT actually endangered.
Point 6 just talks about when the surveys should be done to find the most lizards such as what the ground temperature should be and what time of year.
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7)Increased patrols, route rehabilitation, signs and education are needed to reduce vehicle impacts in the MAs.
So even though there's no evidence of vehicles impacting the lizards (See point 4) the author still wants to try and stop this activity since it must be happening since we all know that OHV users love riding over helpless animals and will do so given any opportunity.
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8) Athyll tamarisk and salt-cedar should be reduced in the MA's before they become a serious problem.
Seems to fly in the face of some of what you're saying Spider. But since I'm already fairly convinced this most recent report has no better science behind it than the listing of the PMV I'm willing to put the burdon of blame on this new report and say "Duh, it's already a serious problem!"
I guess if you find too many things other than vehicles that could be causing problems for a species it makes it harder to blame the vehicles and gives people more ammo to fight with when you close down their land.
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9)Impact transects should be repeated every 3 to 5 years to assess changes in vehicular impacts.
Again it MUST be the vehicles even though this same report also lists:
Military activities, mining, Tamarisk infestation, immigration, border patrols, highway maintenance, power line construction, and predation by shrikes, round-tailed ground squirrels and snakes as threats. Oh and even habitat fragmentation caused by things such as "the colorado river".
But none of them are mentioned in the conclusion as needing monitoring or action (well the Tamarisk almost is) only vehicles.
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10) Habitat suitability assesments based on a single substrate type are an unreliable means of determining the likelihood of the lizard's presence in these areas.
So what we have is a report that starts out saying there are LOTS of things that affect this lizard. But then concludes apparantly they don't have enough of an impact to affect it's numbers - but we should still start limiting vehicles since it's been repeated so many times that vehicles are evil that it simply must be true.
The scientific community has an old saying "Extrodinary claims require extrodinary proof". Claming that a species which has seen no significat changes in it's population as long as we've been studying it is in danger of extinction is about as extrodinary of a claim as I can imagine - it's right up there with perpetual motion and cold fusion. But the only proof we're given is riddled with "Possibly" and "assuming" and "probably" which are hardly the kind of words used when presenting extrodinary proof.